The Chronicles of a DFS Newbie
Welcome to The Chronicles of a DFS Newbie. This space is going to show the journey of a completely inexperienced DFS player and hopefully act as a piece that most new DFS players can relate to.
Hey everyone, welcome back to the Chronicles of a DFS Newbie.
Last time I went over a lineup that had me cashing, so this time I have decided to go over a lineup that wasn’t as successful. Unfortunately I have had a lot of lineups to choose from for this piece but I have decided to go over a GPP lineup I did on April 30 for the main 7pm slate.
I have switched things up and have moved away from Draftkings and started to play on Fanduel. My first impression of Fanduel is that I really enjoy only having to pick one Pitcher. I really struggle finding pitching value, and it is nice only having to try and find one as oppose to two. I also like the pricing on Fan Duel a bit better. I feel it rewards people that do research and are able to find value. On Draftkings, there is such a large salary cap, and the pricing for the players are very similar on both sites, so it’s takes a lot more research to try and find players on Fanduel.
So here is the lineup that I chose for a $1 single entry GPP.
This lineup placed 3052/6936 with a score of 108.1. I was pretty happy with the lineup that I had chosen, unfortunately it didn’t do as well as I had hoped.
Last time I had mentioned that the first thing that I looked at was point spreads of the games in play. The more I have played MLB DFS the more I have realized that point spread is not as important as they are in other sports like NBA and NFL. The point spreads I find have a maximum difference of 2 runs between the lowest and highest games if you disregard any games at Coors. So lately I am making sure that I don’t limit myself to games with a lower point spread.
What I have been trying to look at more are teams that hit a certain handed pitcher better. I felt this was the case with Diamondbacks and hitting against Lefties. I loaded up on Diamondbacks in this slate with Castillo, Goldschmidt, Drury, Tomas. Three of those hitters are all hitting above .300 against Lefties, the one exception was Goldy, but over the last three years he is hitting .344 agianst Lefties. With a good lefty hitting team, I thought this would be a good stack to have.
Next, I tried to find another team to stack that might be a bit low owned. I went right back to the Arizona game, to get a few Rockies in my lineup. The reason I chose to go with the Rockies was that I felt they would be low owned because they were going up against Grienke. The three players I chose and could fit in to the lineup all have had good success against Grienke. Each of LeMahieu, Story, and Cargo have had a HR against Grienke. Granted Grienke is a tough pitcher to target, but I was happy with the selection I made, as it would be a little contrarian and there was a history of success there.
Finally I had to find a pitcher to fit into my lineup. I went with a pitcher that had a low SIERA and a high K%, to give me the greatest upside. Eickhoff fit both those categories; however the downside with him was that he is one of the worst in the league in Hard Contact %. However, I felt that it was worth the risk in order to get some of the higher priced bats that I wanted in my lineup.
Lastly, I needed another OF to fill out my roster, and I went with Ellsbury purely based on the fact that he had great success against Porcello, with an average of .480 including 4 hr.
That’s how I came up with my lineup; now let us see how I did.
Successes:
My Rockies stack was probably the most successful thing about this lineup. Story had himself a good day as well Gonzalez. Also got a double out of LeMahieu, and at only 3% owned I can take that.
My only other success was one of my Arizona players produced for me, as Drury had himself a 2 run HR. Drury has been the hottest Arizona hitter, so it makes sense that he was the best of the diamondbacks for me.
Failures:
As much as I liked my Arizona stack, it definitely did not work out. I didn’t get any 0’s but Arizona only scored 2 runs in this game. Luckily I rostered the player that got the 2 rbis for the team, but aside from that it was underwhelming. Part of the reason could be due to the fact that part of my decision to roster these players was because the pitcher they were against (Rosin) had a SIERA in 2015 was 4.35, however in 2016 he has been much better, and I didn’t take into account how he has been pitching in 2016. Big mistake there.
Second failure was Ellsbury. Now I don’t think there was any way to guess that the Yankees wouldn’t score any runs in this game. So it is hard to be too upset with this pick. The only thing I can think of is to try and not put too much emphasis on BVP stats, even though Ellsbury had a great one against Porcello.
Finally my last failure was Eickhoff, it was always a risk playing him, and it definitely did not pay off. What I have learned in my short experience, do not target the Indians, right @xBenJamminx
You win some you lose some. This was obviously not a good lineup, but I feel my process is getting better. Once I can figure out my pitching picks I think I can have some more success. On to the next one. As always, feel free to hit me up on twitter @Kamani31 to go over your lineup choices or to give me any tips on the lineups that I have chosen. Until next time!
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