DraftKings Top Plays 11/26/2016
Stephen Curry ($9000)
Steph has had a few games this year that have left people wondering if last year was a fluke. Lately though, we’ve seen Curry return to last year’s form shooting 50% from three over his last two games. He’s nearly a $3000 discount from the top priced PG Russell Westbrook so he provides plenty of salary relief for a top tier PG. In his career he’s averaged 46.7 DK points per game against Minnesota and I’d expect him to be right around there tonight,
The Grizzlies are missing a bunch of players tonight and for a guy near minimum price, Harrison has recently seen big minutes. Over his last four games he’s scored 30.0, 14.5, 30.5 and 23.8 points. He went 0-8 last night from the floor and was still able to put up 23.8 DK points, so he can fill the stat sheet even if his shooting goes cold. He will be a lock for me in cash and GPPs tonight.
Zach LaVine ($6000)
LaVine is coming off a disappointing game in which he put up just 17.75 DK points – achieving just over 3x value which is not where we need to be to cash. I think with recency bias he may go low owned. He is in a good spot against the Golden State Warriors who aren’t great at defending SGs. In LaVine’s lone B2B this season he scored 21.0 DK points, then 52.0 the following night so look for him to bounce back against the Warriors.
This dude has been CRUSHING value lately. Over his last four games he’s eclipsed 30 minutes three times and hit or exceeded 5x value in all four. This game has the second highest implied total on the slate so there should plenty of more scoring to go around for Marco.
Kawhi Leonard ($8300)
With many people on Kevin Durant on the short slate, I’m going to save a little over $1000 and go with Kawhi. This play might seem overly obvious and chalky, but I don’t care. His consistency and usage are on point night in and night out regardless of matchup.
Tobias Harris ($5700)
In 10 career games against the Thunder, Harris averages 30.2 DK points per game which makes him a great cash game option tonight. This matchup also has the closest spread of all the games with an implied point total over 200, so it should be high scoring and starters should still be in late in the game. Harris has been cold over his last 5 games, so I’m looking for some positive scoring regression from him tonight. He is SF eligible on DK, but he will probably matchup against the Thunder’s rookie PF Domantas Sabonis. In his last game against OKC this season he went for 41.0 DK points.
With Draymond Green either being out, or being hobbled by an ankle contusion I like Dieng in this spot for GPPs. People will be scared off with the big spread, but I think he gets a bump in rebounds and blocks and has some good upside.
Kaminsky is another guy who has been killing value lately. He’s met or exceeded value in 6 straight and is red hot lately. He did play a lot of minutes last night in the OT game in New York, but Frank is a young guy and should be ready to go for round two tonight against the Knicks. Marvin Williams has been ruled out for at least a week so Frank should see a lot of floor time.
Gasol will go up against a Heat team that is ranked 26th against Centers in DvP. Gasol also only played 26 minutes last night so he should have fresh legs for tonight’s game. He didn’t have the game we normally see out of him last night putting up only 23.3 DK points. I expect Gasol to bounce back tonight and many will be off him with the low implied point total. Keep in mind however that it is also the tightest spread, so OT is not out of the question.
If you want to save at center Zeller is a great option. In 23 minutes last night he put up 25.0 DK points. Nicolas Batum is currently listed as questionable, but if he is ruled out Zeller will see a bump in usage and minutes with him, Kemba Walker and Kidd-Gilchrist shouldering the load.
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About the Author:
Mike works in pharmaceuticals and is a diehard fan of all Boston based sports teams. He’s been playing DFS for a little over a year and enjoys all sports, but his favorite is NBA. He is mainly a cash game player, but likes to throw his hat in some GPPs as well. In his first year he grew a $50 deposit into a few thousand dollars. He dreams of grinding away and growing his bankroll so one day he can quit his job and do DFS full time.