Jacksonville Jaguars 2016 Preview

Jacksonville Jaguars 2016 Preview

2015 Season Preview (5-11)

2015 Pass Attempts 607 – Rank: 12th
2015 Rush Attempts 354 – Rank: 30th
2015 Total Offensive 1,012 – Plays Rank: 21st
2015 Yards Per Play 5.5 – Rank: 16th

Blake Bortles burst onto the scene last year with 37 total touchdowns, finishing the year as the 4th overall ranked fantasy quarterback, behind Cam Newton, Russell Wilson and Tom Brady. That’s some nice company to be in. All those people that laughed at the Jags on draft day and said “who?” when the Jags selected Bortles aren’t laughing now. All that being said, yes, Bortles was a fantastic Fantasy QB last year, however, he wasn’t that great of a “real life” QB. Only completing 59% of his passes and leading the NFL in INT is just not going to get it done long term.

Despite the question marks and the youth, I’m picking these guys to win the AFC South in 2016. I say this because their division is awful, outside of the Colts they have nobody to worry about. The Jags sport one of the most electrifying offenses in the NFL, and their Defense is no slouch either.

For DFS, I’ll start with the somehow not-so-popular Bortles and Allen Robinson stack. These guys have the ability of making you a lot of money through the course of a season, but let’s not forget about Allen Hurns. Hurns is an athletic and lanky guy that has improved every year thus far. He may be a great play this year, especially while his price is low early this season. The only thing that really concerns me at all about the Jags passing attack, is their addition of Chris Ivory from the Jets. Ivory is a workhorse Back who the Jags may use to try and keep their Offense “on” the field this year. Ivory, Yeldon, and Denard Robinson are 3 great runners, and could take some targets away from Hurns and Allen Robinson but It doesn’t concern me enough to not draft them.

Vegas only has the Jags at 6 wins this year, I’m all OVER the OVER on that one. As I said earlier, I feel like this team has arrived, and this will be their breakout year. Bortles, Robinson, Ivory, Yeldon, Hurns, Thomas, they are loaded on Offense. They will be the fantasy darlings of many this year, so get on board now.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars Depth Chart
  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9    
QB Blake Bortles Chad Henne Brandon Allen                
RB T.J. Yeldon Chris Ivory Denard Robinson Jonas Gray Corey Grant Joe Banyard          
WR Allen Robinson Allen Hurns Rashad Greene Marqise Lee Arrelious Benn Neil Sterling Tony Washington Rashad Lawrence Shaquelle Evans    
TE Julius Thomas Marcedes Lewis Nic Jacobs Ben Koyack              
K Jason Myers      

The Core by xBenJamminx

The Jaguars have some good offensive talent, but they’re awful on defense. They’ve made some moves to improved, but the good thing for us is that means they’ll be playing from behind a lot.

Blake Bortles was a top 10 QB in Completions (355), Pass Attempts (606), Pass Yards (4,428), and even tied for #2 in Pass TDs (35). He is a big QB who has a bright future and has a young cast around him. The Jaguars have a pretty tough schedule for all positions, and were in the bottom half of offensives plays ran last year. But Bortles threw the ball around 38 time per game and the majority of those targets went to stud WR Allen Robinson who led the league in 20+ yard plays with 31, while all-pro WR Antonio Brown was #2 with 25. He was also was #2 in average yards per catch among WRs who had more than 50 catches, with 17.5 per catch. Coming off a 1,400 yard, 14 TD and 150 target season, he’s in a prime position to put up similar numbers. Allen Hurns came out of nowhere last year in his sophomore season to put up 1,000 yards and 10 TDs and he did that all with 105 targets. It’s obvious that Julius Thomas had a bad year last year, but he started the season with a broken hand and seems like he never really recovered. Thomas was a stud in DEN with Peyton Manning and I think that he will have some progression. He missed the first 4 weeks and still ended up with 80 targets, third on the team. It’s going to be tough to judge this RB situation with big body north/south runner Chris Ivory and TJ Yeldon splitting the carries. They are both very capable runners, with Yeldon showing some promise last year, but it’s clear Ivory was brought here to be the touchdown guy.

Cash Thoughts: I really like this passing game and I assume I will be on the Blake Bortles and Allen Robinson stack fairly often, because of the consistency of attempts and targets. Although he led the league in 20+ yard plays with 31, 12 of Allen Robinson’s 14 TDs came in the Red Zone with 14 catches on 21 targets. He’s the clear #1 here and the QB/WR1 stack will be pretty popular this year. I can even use Allen Robinson as a standalone option if I like a better QB or use the QB/WR2 stack with Allen Hurns who averaged 16 yards per catch and 7 targets per game. I’m not sure how Julius Thomas will play out but in the right matchup I could see using the QB/TE stack

GPP Thoughts: All of the cash thoughts apply here, but we can take it a step further with the QB/WR1/WR2 stack or QB/TE/WR(1or2) stack. I’m not sure how I am going to use the running game this year but neither of them receive enough targets for me to get excited with a RB time share.

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