Houston Texans 2016 Preview

Houston Texans 2016 Preview

2015 Season Review (9-7)

2015 Pass Attempts 619 – Rank: 9th (619)
2015 Rush Attempts 472 – Rank: 5th (472)
2015 Total Offensive 1,127 – Plays Rank: 1st (1,127)
2015 Yards Per Play 4.9 – Rank: 31st (4.9)

I was honestly shocked when the Texans gave Brock Osweiler $72m dollars this past Off Season. For a player that hasn’t proven much as all, that seems like a ridiculous contract to me. However, he’s got to be an upgrade from Brian Hoyer, doesn’t he? After doing some digging on Osweiler, I’m still not very impressed. Bill O’Brian has worked some magic, albeit limited magic, with Brian Hoyer, Brandon Weeden and Ryan Fitzpatrick in the past, so clearly the Texans are banking on him being able to do it again this year with Osweiler.

DeAndre Hopkins was a flat out STUD last year hauling in 111 receptions for 1,521 yards and 11 touchdowns. I don’t really know what else to say about Hopkins other than he’s usually worth the price of admission on a weekly basis. He is rivaled by only Antonio Brown as far as the title of “Best Fantasy WR” in my opinion.

Corey Fuller, from Notre Dame, was added in the Draft, for his vertical threat style. He’s not the best pass catcher, but he’s damn fast and that alone should help free up Hopkins underneath even more. New Running back Lamar Miller should be able to flourish in the Texans system that helped put Arian Foster on the map. Miller averaged around 4.8 yards per carry the last two years in Miami, and their Offensive line isn’t nearly as solid as the Texans will be this year. Miller is a great back out of the backfield as well, so look for him on DraftKings if you’re looking to add a nice pass catching HB.

The Texans have a win total of 8 heading into the Season. As I said above, I’m just not sold on Brock Osweiler yet, so I’ve got to take the under on this one. I love DeAndre Hopkins and Lamar Miller as fantasy players, but, we all know, real life Team success begins and ends at the Quarterback position. You either have one, or you don’t, and I don’t believe the Texans have one just yet.

Houston Texans Depth Chart
  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
QB Brock Osweiler Brandon Weeden Tom Savage          
RB Lamar Miller Alfred Blue Jonathan Grimes Tyler Ervin Akeem Hunt Kenny Hilliard Jay Prosch  
WR DeAndre Hopkins Will Fuller Cecil Shorts Jaelen Strong Keith Mumphery Braxton Miller Wendell Williams Tevin Jones
TE Ryan Griffin C.J. Fiedorowicz Anthony Denham          
K Nick Novak Ka’imi Fairbairn    

The Core by xBenJamminx

The Texans were on HBO Hard Knocks last year, and not because they were one of the better teams in the league. Although, the star of JJ Watt is shining bright.

They had such trouble with the QB position last year. They should be a little bit better in terms of consistency at the position. But their average-below average schedule won’t help much. While Brock Osweiler was no Peyton Manning, he showed signs of promise while filling in for the veteran. It’s very important to also consider the tutelage of Manning with Brock. He’s 6’8 240lbs and has a big arm which is perfect for elite WR DeAndre Hopkins (111 Recs/1,521 yds/11 TDs) who led the league in Yards AT the catch with 1,348. When you consider he had total receiving yards of 1,521, you realize the majority of his plays are down the field big plays. He had a 12.14 YAtC/Rec compared to 1.56 YAC/Rec, showing that he isn’t a player who catches the ball and runs afterwards, he’s a big play guy. Hopkins also led the league with 30 Red Zone Targets, catching 14 of them and scoring 8 RZ TDs. With the mismatch of QBs last year, if he can get any kind of chemistry with Brock, they could have a great connection. I really like Lamar Miller at RB and the Texans are a better fit for him than MIA. He’s going from a team ranked dead LAST in rushing attempts, to a team that was 5th in the NFL in rushing attempts per game. Lamar Miller scored 6 Red Zone TDs on 19 RZ carries, he’ll certainly get more attempts on HOU giving him more upside than he’s ever had. I don’t really know what to expect from rookie speedster Will Fuller and veteran Cecil Shorts. I’ll have to reconsider this throughout the season but I need to see if they have chemistry with Brock. I have no comments on the TEs here.

Cash Thoughts: I’m not sure if I’ll be using Brock Osweiler because I need to see him start a few games but I know that I’ll be having shares of DeAndre Hopkins throughout the year, seeing as he’s pretty much matchup proof. When it comes to Lamar Miller it will be more based on matchup and game flow to see if I want to use him, unless the price and value is just too right. I think he’s a good RB but I want to see how they manage him.

GPP Thoughts: I actually think the QB/RB/WR1 stack might be more popular here than with many other teams. I’ll be using the big 3 here in the right matchups but I can see using the QB/WR1 stack if Osweiler remains reasonably priced, because we know Hopkins will be expensive. I will be considering Will Fuller and Cecil Shorts after I see how they’re used in this offense.

 

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