If you are downloading the spreadsheet (which is currently free) it has a lot of information that you can choose what stats are best for your own model. Click the “Build Your Own Model” and then you can do your own research and make decisions on who the statistics say will be the best golfer for the tournament. The goal is to make the Total in Green be 100 by changing all of the numbers in yellow to equal 100. The higher the number you put, the more weighting it will have on the tournament.
Travelers Championships Important Statistics
In no particular order, I like Good Driving Percentage, Par 4 Scoring, Strokes Gained Tee to Green, Birdies, and Strokes Gained Approach.
Justin Thomas is coming off a lack luster final round at the U.S. Open, but sets up well for the Travelers. Thomas has been one of the best guys on tour for Par 4’s and can really roll off some low rounds if he gets it going early. His ability to hit the ball of the tee and think it helps set up in solid birdie opportunities where he can take advantage of his approach. He is always a player that should be looked at for the weekend when it rolls around.
Jordan Spieth did not have the finish he would have liked for the U.S. Open, but seems to set up a little better than Day and Rory. If Jordan can get the putter going early in this tournament, he has the opportunity to run away with the trophy.
Brendan Steele is a name that I have seen a lot for this tournament, and rightfully so. Steele measures well in all of the categories we are looking at and has the ability to win for the right price. I think he may be a little highly owned, but is a solid play.
Tony Finau seems to be over-owned, but I am not really hearing his name for this week. Considering this tournament has some easier greens than past weeks, he may have the opportunity to go low with his ability off the tee and his approach game. Even if he has an off week, he can get you many bonus points with eagles and birdies.
Kyle Stanley is a little pricier on DK than I would want him to be, but is a solid option for the price on Fan Duel. Stanley is not the best putter on tour, but this tournament does not have much correlation on ability with the flat stick. If Stanley can get some confidence in the first round, he has a real shot at a top 15 finish for a great price on FD.
Lucas Glover looks to have all the right statistics to be a value pick this week. He has had a difficult run over the past few weeks, but each time he misses the cut the next weekend he plays a little better. He is the best pick under 7k in the field.
Keegan Bradley is another in the long list of putting doesn’t matter for this tournament. Obviously, it matters a little bit, but it is not the driving force in guys to be picked (it is a perk if guys have ability off the tee and on the green). I like Keegan because of his ability to go low and roll off a ton of birdies in any round.
Jim Herman needs to have some heavy consideration on Fan Duel with his pricing. He is bumped down to 5,200 and is one of the only guys near the bottom of the pricing that has won a PGA Tour event. Herman always sneaks up on your when you don’t expect it, and this could be his week to shine.
For this section, I will be putting down some guys that have played well here in the past.
Marc Leishman has made the cut each of the past 5 years and won the tournament in 2012.
Bubba Watson has made the cut each of the past 9 years, has 5 top 10 finishes, and has won the tournament in 2015 and 2010.
Bryce Molder has made the cut in 7 of the past 8 years and has one top 10 finish. If you are trying to fit in a couple of high priced guys and want to take a flier on someone who has played well in the past, he is your dude.
For this section, I will be putting down some guys that have played well over the past month.
Sung Kang has not missed a cut in the past three months and two top ten finishes. He 9 of his last 9 tournaments.
Grayson Murray has not missed the cut in his last 7 tournaments and has had some decent finishes, low chance of winning.
Danny Lee is four of the last four tournaments with two top 10 finishes.
About the Author:
“CH” aka @UndoneRSG, has been playing fantasy sports since 1997. He made the transition from season long to daily fantasy sports in 2014 and hasn’t looked back. In college, Chris wrote his thesis on “Beating PECOTA ranking system” and came out with a ranking system that was equivalent with PECOTA. He has been obsessed with using statistics in fantasy ever since. Current math teacher, he is working on a ranking system for PGA and NBA that should be out shortly.