Top Arms (EARLY)
Ervin Santana (MIN) vs COL – $9,300
Santana gets to take the mound today in very pitcher-friendly conditions. The wind is blowing in from left at around 14 MPH and the weather isn’t expected to go above 55 degrees in Minnesota. He’s the best option available when you consider the fact that Jon Lester has to be pitch in 20 MPH winds that are blowing straight out again at Wrigley. Santana’s got a 1.50 ERA but his 4.61 SIERA suggests he is due for some regression. I don’t really see it happening today in these conditions, but anything can happen. The Rockies have a plethora of solid bats that can ruin any pitcher’s day, but of all the options available today, Santana is probably going to give you the highest score.
Tanner Roark (WAS) @ PIT – $8,200
The strikeout upside is pretty limited for Tanner Roark, but with how bad Pittsburgh has been of late, he should be a fairly safe option to not get blown up today. They rank third worst in the league in team wOBA against righties and PNC Park is obviously very pitcher friendly. It also helps that his team has a bunch of hot bats that get a gas can on the other side of the mound in Tyler Glasnow. Pitchers are extremely tough to come by on this early slate, so we’re going to have to consider Roark because of the matchup and positional scarcity. Don’t expect a big number, but you will likely see a serviceable score at a cost that should allow you to play plenty of expensive bats on the early slate.
EARLY SLATE NOTES
The wind at Wrigley has me off of Amir Garrett and Jon Lester completely.
You could take a shot on Dylan Bundy with the wind blowing in 21 MPH from right field. Bundy has some solid stuff, but Detroit has been extremely hot lately. With how slim the options are today, I would support putting Bundy in a few lineups.
Jordan Zimmerman is a shell of the man he once was. Complete fade for me.
German Marquez actually hasn’t been awful for Colorado. If you want to get a little cute, you can play him instead of Santana as they both get to pitch in similar weather conditions. But I like the play much more on DraftKings where he is only $5,000.